ATS Sprint 4K-I - Practical Execution Layer

Generated UTC 2026-07-10T03:29:01+00:00 | Candidate source: data\demo\latest_portfolio_a.csv
Stooq module completeness
Stooq module completeness warning — missing from latest import: Japan; missing data folders: Poland, Hungary, Macroeconomy.
World: OKU.S.: OKU.K.: OKJapan: MISSINGHong Kong: OKPoland: MISSINGHungary: MISSINGMacroeconomy: MISSING
Latest import report: C:\ats\reports\manual_stooq_imports\manual_stooq_import_20260709_083049.json
Data root: C:\Market Data\Stooq\data\daily
Manual IG workflow
Edit data\demo\latest_ig_practical_input.csv, then run python .\ats_practical_layer.py. Availability is separated into spread betting, CFD and share dealing, and into demo versus live.
25Candidates
2Regions
25Horizon-labelled rows
25Visible now

Candidate filters

Region
Horizon
Product

AUTO.UK

Auto Trader Group PLC

LONG
UKEquity5d
Confidence 64.5   Opportunity 68.0
Entry reference: 503.80 latest_close
Entry band: 497.32 - 510.28
Re-check / do not chase: 516.76

LONG: consider inside the band; re-check rather than chase above the avoid level.

Spread bet demonot checked
Spread bet livenot checked
CFD demonot checked
CFD livenot checked
Share dealingnot checked
Opening: not checked | Long: not checked | Short: not checked
Spread: | Minimum:

Why ATS selected this
  • Strategy: recovery / recovery_long; trend state range_or_mixed_trend.
  • Confidence: 64.5. This is the primary model-evidence priority, not a guarantee.
  • Opportunity score: 68.0 / 100. This is a ranking score, not a win probability.
  • Historical evidence: 2851 observations; 156 comparable regime matches; historical win probability 67.3%; expected return 1.669%.
  • Setup state: z-score 1.36; Markov state above_mean.
  • ATS reason: recovery setup (range_or_mixed_trend): drawdown 49%, retraced 19% of the fall, 156 historical recovery setups, 67% win rate, +1.67% avg 5D forward return, direction long
  • Evidence flags: range_or_mixed_trend;recovery_long_setup;prior_drawdown;stabilisation_confirmed;sma_reclaimed;sufficient_sample_size;favourable_win_probability;positive_transition_probability
  • IG evidence: manual override: example seed row - verify on IG before relying on it

EUA.UK

SparkChange Physical Carbon EUA ETC - GBp

SHORT
UKETC5d
Confidence 64.2   Opportunity 47.2
Entry reference: 2.4250 latest_close
Entry band: 2.3522 - 2.4977
Re-check / do not chase: 2.2795

SHORT: consider inside the band; re-check rather than chase below the avoid level.

Spread bet demonot checked
Spread bet livenot checked
CFD demonot checked
CFD livenot checked
Share dealingnot checked
Opening: not checked | Long: not checked | Short: not checked
Spread: | Minimum:

Why ATS selected this
  • Strategy: momentum / momentum_short; trend state strong_downtrend.
  • Confidence: 64.2. This is the primary model-evidence priority, not a guarantee.
  • Opportunity score: 47.2 / 100. This is a ranking score, not a win probability.
  • Historical evidence: 459 observations; 65 comparable regime matches; historical win probability 70.8%; expected return 2.659%.
  • Setup state: z-score -0.883; Markov state neutral.
  • ATS reason: momentum setup (strong_downtrend): 65 historical aligned setups, 71% win rate, +2.66% avg 5D forward return, direction short
  • Evidence flags: strong_downtrend;momentum_short_setup;momentum_confirmation;trend_aligned_entry;adequate_sample_size;favourable_win_probability;positive_transition_probability;high_volatility_warning;limited_history_warning
  • IG evidence: official IG evidence: name/slug match with region agreement

PNR.US

Pentair Ltd (24 Hours)

LONG
USEquity5d
Confidence 62.4   Opportunity 54.0
Entry reference: 76.72 latest_close
Entry band: 75.73 - 77.71
Re-check / do not chase: 78.70

LONG: consider inside the band; re-check rather than chase above the avoid level.

Spread bet demonot checked
Spread bet livenot checked
CFD demonot checked
CFD livenot checked
Share dealingnot checked
Opening: not checked | Long: not checked | Short: not checked
Spread: | Minimum:

Why ATS selected this
  • Strategy: recovery / recovery_long; trend state range_or_mixed_trend.
  • Confidence: 62.4. This is the primary model-evidence priority, not a guarantee.
  • Opportunity score: 54.0 / 100. This is a ranking score, not a win probability.
  • Historical evidence: 5370 observations; 436 comparable regime matches; historical win probability 63.3%; expected return 1.047%.
  • Setup state: z-score 1.48; Markov state above_mean.
  • ATS reason: recovery setup (range_or_mixed_trend): drawdown 37%, retraced 14% of the fall, 436 historical recovery setups, 63% win rate, +1.05% avg 5D forward return, direction long
  • Evidence flags: range_or_mixed_trend;recovery_long_setup;prior_drawdown;stabilisation_confirmed;sma_reclaimed;sufficient_sample_size;favourable_win_probability;positive_transition_probability
  • IG evidence: official IG evidence: market code match

AT1.UK

Invesco AT1 Capital Bond UCITS ETF - GBp

LONG
UKETF5d
Confidence 61.1   Opportunity 44.4
Entry reference: 30.40 latest_close
Entry band: 30.10 - 30.70
Re-check / do not chase: 31.01

LONG: consider inside the band; re-check rather than chase above the avoid level.

Spread bet demonot checked
Spread bet livenot checked
CFD demonot checked
CFD livenot checked
Share dealingnot checked
Opening: not checked | Long: not checked | Short: not checked
Spread: | Minimum:

Why ATS selected this
  • Strategy: momentum / momentum_long; trend state strong_uptrend.
  • Confidence: 61.1. This is the primary model-evidence priority, not a guarantee.
  • Opportunity score: 44.4 / 100. This is a ranking score, not a win probability.
  • Historical evidence: 2029 observations; 671 comparable regime matches; historical win probability 61.5%; expected return 0.161%.
  • Setup state: z-score 1.17; Markov state above_mean.
  • ATS reason: momentum setup (strong_uptrend): 671 historical aligned setups, 62% win rate, +0.16% avg 5D forward return, direction long
  • Evidence flags: strong_uptrend;momentum_long_setup;momentum_confirmation;trend_aligned_entry;sufficient_sample_size;favourable_win_probability;positive_transition_probability
  • IG evidence: official IG evidence: name/slug match with region agreement

HIK.UK

Hikma Pharmaceuticals PLC

LONG
UKEquity5d
Confidence 61.0   Opportunity 51.9
Entry reference: 1545.0 latest_close
Entry band: 1529.5 - 1560.5
Re-check / do not chase: 1575.9

LONG: consider inside the band; re-check rather than chase above the avoid level.

Spread bet demonot checked
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CFD demonot checked
CFD livenot checked
Share dealingnot checked
Opening: not checked | Long: not checked | Short: not checked
Spread: | Minimum:

Why ATS selected this
  • Strategy: recovery / recovery_long; trend state uptrend.
  • Confidence: 61.0. This is the primary model-evidence priority, not a guarantee.
  • Opportunity score: 51.9 / 100. This is a ranking score, not a win probability.
  • Historical evidence: 2863 observations; 370 comparable regime matches; historical win probability 61.9%; expected return 0.589%.
  • Setup state: z-score 1.429; Markov state above_mean.
  • ATS reason: recovery setup (uptrend): drawdown 45%, retraced 37% of the fall, 370 historical recovery setups, 62% win rate, +0.59% avg 5D forward return, direction long
  • Evidence flags: uptrend;recovery_long_setup;prior_drawdown;stabilisation_confirmed;sma_reclaimed;sufficient_sample_size;favourable_win_probability;positive_transition_probability
  • IG evidence: official IG evidence: market code match

QID.US

ProShares UltraShort QQQ

SHORT
USETF5d
Confidence 60.0   Opportunity 33.1
Entry reference: 14.44 latest_close
Entry band: 14.11 - 14.77
Re-check / do not chase: 13.77

SHORT: consider inside the band; re-check rather than chase below the avoid level.

Spread bet demonot checked
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CFD demonot checked
CFD livenot checked
Share dealingnot checked
Opening: not checked | Long: not checked | Short: not checked
Spread: | Minimum:

Why ATS selected this
  • Strategy: volatility / inverse_index_momentum_short; trend state strong_downtrend.
  • Confidence: 60.0. This is the primary model-evidence priority, not a guarantee.
  • Opportunity score: 33.1 / 100. This is a ranking score, not a win probability.
  • Historical evidence: 5020 observations; 2997 comparable regime matches; historical win probability 60.1%; expected return 0.494%.
  • Setup state: z-score 0.225; Markov state neutral.
  • ATS reason: leveraged_short_index specialist setup (strong_downtrend): 2997 historical aligned setups, 60% win rate, +0.49% avg 5D forward return, direction short
  • Evidence flags: strong_downtrend;inverse_index_momentum_short_setup;specialist_volatility_engine;leveraged_etf_product;inverse_index_product;exposure_leveraged_index;sufficient_sample_size;favourable_win_probability;positive_transition_probability;high_volatility_warning
  • IG evidence: official IG evidence: market code match

HNI.US

HNI Corp

LONG
USEquity5d
Confidence 59.9   Opportunity 44.5
Entry reference: 41.43 latest_close
Entry band: 40.56 - 42.30
Re-check / do not chase: 43.16

LONG: consider inside the band; re-check rather than chase above the avoid level.

Spread bet demonot checked
Spread bet livenot checked
CFD demonot checked
CFD livenot checked
Share dealingnot checked
Opening: not checked | Long: not checked | Short: not checked
Spread: | Minimum:

Why ATS selected this
  • Strategy: recovery / recovery_long; trend state range_or_mixed_trend.
  • Confidence: 59.9. This is the primary model-evidence priority, not a guarantee.
  • Opportunity score: 44.5 / 100. This is a ranking score, not a win probability.
  • Historical evidence: 5370 observations; 743 comparable regime matches; historical win probability 60.3%; expected return 1.319%.
  • Setup state: z-score 1.735; Markov state above_mean.
  • ATS reason: recovery setup (range_or_mixed_trend): drawdown 44%, retraced 52% of the fall, 743 historical recovery setups, 60% win rate, +1.32% avg 5D forward return, direction long
  • Evidence flags: range_or_mixed_trend;recovery_long_setup;prior_drawdown;stabilisation_confirmed;sma_reclaimed;sufficient_sample_size;favourable_win_probability;positive_transition_probability
  • IG evidence: official IG evidence: market code match

URI.US

United Rentals Inc (24 Hours)

LONG
USEquity5d
Confidence 59.8   Opportunity 45.5
Entry reference: 1098.6 latest_close
Entry band: 1083.6 - 1113.5
Re-check / do not chase: 1128.5

LONG: consider inside the band; re-check rather than chase above the avoid level.

Spread bet demonot checked
Spread bet livenot checked
CFD demonot checked
CFD livenot checked
Share dealingnot checked
Opening: not checked | Long: not checked | Short: not checked
Spread: | Minimum:

Why ATS selected this
  • Strategy: momentum / momentum_long; trend state strong_uptrend.
  • Confidence: 59.8. This is the primary model-evidence priority, not a guarantee.
  • Opportunity score: 45.5 / 100. This is a ranking score, not a win probability.
  • Historical evidence: 5370 observations; 1202 comparable regime matches; historical win probability 60.1%; expected return 0.989%.
  • Setup state: z-score 0.394; Markov state neutral.
  • ATS reason: momentum setup (strong_uptrend): 1202 historical aligned setups, 60% win rate, +0.99% avg 5D forward return, direction long
  • Evidence flags: strong_uptrend;momentum_long_setup;momentum_confirmation;trend_aligned_entry;sufficient_sample_size;favourable_win_probability;positive_transition_probability
  • IG evidence: official IG evidence: market code match

HDB.US

HDFC Bank Ltd - ADR

LONG
USEquity5d
Confidence 59.5   Opportunity 53.3
Entry reference: 25.77 latest_close
Entry band: 25.46 - 26.07
Re-check / do not chase: 26.38

LONG: consider inside the band; re-check rather than chase above the avoid level.

Spread bet demonot checked
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CFD demonot checked
CFD livenot checked
Share dealingnot checked
Opening: not checked | Long: not checked | Short: not checked
Spread: | Minimum:

Why ATS selected this
  • Strategy: recovery / recovery_long; trend state range_or_mixed_trend.
  • Confidence: 59.5. This is the primary model-evidence priority, not a guarantee.
  • Opportunity score: 53.3 / 100. This is a ranking score, not a win probability.
  • Historical evidence: 5370 observations; 328 comparable regime matches; historical win probability 60.4%; expected return 1.07%.
  • Setup state: z-score 1.101; Markov state above_mean.
  • ATS reason: recovery setup (range_or_mixed_trend): drawdown 41%, retraced 17% of the fall, 328 historical recovery setups, 60% win rate, +1.07% avg 5D forward return, direction long
  • Evidence flags: range_or_mixed_trend;recovery_long_setup;prior_drawdown;stabilisation_confirmed;sma_reclaimed;sufficient_sample_size;favourable_win_probability;positive_transition_probability
  • IG evidence: official IG evidence: market code match

PRE.US

PartnerRe Ltd

LONG
USEquity1d
Confidence 59.1   Opportunity 33.9
Entry reference: 16.93 latest_close
Entry band: 16.42 - 17.44
Re-check / do not chase: 17.95

LONG: consider inside the band; re-check rather than chase above the avoid level.

Spread bet demonot checked
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CFD demonot checked
CFD livenot checked
Share dealingnot checked
Opening: not checked | Long: not checked | Short: not checked
Spread: | Minimum:

Why ATS selected this
  • Strategy: mean_reversion / mean_reversion_long; trend state range_or_mixed_trend.
  • Confidence: 59.1. This is the primary model-evidence priority, not a guarantee.
  • Opportunity score: 33.9 / 100. This is a ranking score, not a win probability.
  • Historical evidence: 1028 observations; 58 comparable regime matches; historical win probability 63.8%; expected return 1.489%.
  • Setup state: z-score -2.626; Markov state extreme_below_mean.
  • ATS reason: extreme_below_mean state: 58 historical matches, 64% win rate, +1.49% avg 1D forward return, direction long
  • Evidence flags: extreme_negative_z_score;range_or_mixed_trend;mean_reversion_setup;adequate_sample_size;favourable_win_probability;positive_transition_probability;high_volatility_warning
  • IG evidence: official IG evidence: market code match

PSA.US

Public Storage (24 Hours)

LONG
USEquity5d
Confidence 58.9   Opportunity 35.7
Entry reference: 329.64 latest_close
Entry band: 326.17 - 333.11
Re-check / do not chase: 336.58

LONG: consider inside the band; re-check rather than chase above the avoid level.

Spread bet demonot checked
Spread bet livenot checked
CFD demonot checked
CFD livenot checked
Share dealingnot checked
Opening: not checked | Long: not checked | Short: not checked
Spread: | Minimum:

Why ATS selected this
  • Strategy: breakout / breakout_long; trend state strong_uptrend.
  • Confidence: 58.9. This is the primary model-evidence priority, not a guarantee.
  • Opportunity score: 35.7 / 100. This is a ranking score, not a win probability.
  • Historical evidence: 5370 observations; 167 comparable regime matches; historical win probability 60.5%; expected return 0.305%.
  • Setup state: z-score 1.715; Markov state above_mean.
  • ATS reason: fresh range break (strong_uptrend): 167 historical fresh breaks, 60% win rate, +0.31% avg 5D forward return, direction long
  • Evidence flags: strong_uptrend;breakout_long_setup;fresh_range_break;sufficient_sample_size;favourable_win_probability;positive_transition_probability
  • IG evidence: official IG evidence: market code match

INSP.US

Blucora Inc

SHORT
USEquity1d
Confidence 58.8   Opportunity 31.8
Entry reference: 46.95 latest_close
Entry band: 45.87 - 48.03
Re-check / do not chase: 44.79

SHORT: consider inside the band; re-check rather than chase below the avoid level.

Spread bet demonot checked
Spread bet livenot checked
CFD demonot checked
CFD livenot checked
Share dealingnot checked
Opening: not checked | Long: not checked | Short: not checked
Spread: | Minimum:

Why ATS selected this
  • Strategy: mean_reversion / mean_reversion_short; trend state range_or_mixed_trend.
  • Confidence: 58.8. This is the primary model-evidence priority, not a guarantee.
  • Opportunity score: 31.8 / 100. This is a ranking score, not a win probability.
  • Historical evidence: 2052 observations; 123 comparable regime matches; historical win probability 61.0%; expected return 0.358%.
  • Setup state: z-score 2.398; Markov state extreme_above_mean.
  • ATS reason: extreme_above_mean state: 123 historical matches, 61% win rate, +0.36% avg 1D forward return, direction short
  • Evidence flags: extreme_positive_z_score;range_or_mixed_trend;mean_reversion_setup;sufficient_sample_size;favourable_win_probability;positive_transition_probability
  • IG evidence: official IG evidence: market code match

WSO.US

Watsco Inc

LONG
USEquity5d
Confidence 58.5   Opportunity 44.6
Entry reference: 404.71 latest_close
Entry band: 398.68 - 410.74
Re-check / do not chase: 416.77

LONG: consider inside the band; re-check rather than chase above the avoid level.

Spread bet demonot checked
Spread bet livenot checked
CFD demonot checked
CFD livenot checked
Share dealingnot checked
Opening: not checked | Long: not checked | Short: not checked
Spread: | Minimum:

Why ATS selected this
  • Strategy: recovery / recovery_long; trend state uptrend.
  • Confidence: 58.5. This is the primary model-evidence priority, not a guarantee.
  • Opportunity score: 44.6 / 100. This is a ranking score, not a win probability.
  • Historical evidence: 5370 observations; 310 comparable regime matches; historical win probability 59.4%; expected return 0.971%.
  • Setup state: z-score 0.844; Markov state neutral.
  • ATS reason: recovery setup (uptrend): drawdown 43%, retraced 33% of the fall, 310 historical recovery setups, 59% win rate, +0.97% avg 5D forward return, direction long
  • Evidence flags: uptrend;recovery_long_setup;prior_drawdown;stabilisation_confirmed;sma_reclaimed;sufficient_sample_size;positive_transition_probability
  • IG evidence: official IG evidence: market code match

FUTR.UK

Future PLC

SHORT
UKFutures5d
Confidence 58.3   Opportunity 62.5
Entry reference: 298.20 latest_close
Entry band: 290.83 - 305.57
Re-check / do not chase: 283.46

SHORT: consider inside the band; re-check rather than chase below the avoid level.

Spread bet demonot checked
Spread bet livenot checked
CFD demonot checked
CFD livenot checked
Share dealingnot checked
Opening: not checked | Long: not checked | Short: not checked
Spread: | Minimum:

Why ATS selected this
  • Strategy: momentum / momentum_short; trend state strong_downtrend.
  • Confidence: 58.3. This is the primary model-evidence priority, not a guarantee.
  • Opportunity score: 62.5 / 100. This is a ranking score, not a win probability.
  • Historical evidence: 2817 observations; 363 comparable regime matches; historical win probability 59.0%; expected return 1.246%.
  • Setup state: z-score -0.103; Markov state neutral.
  • ATS reason: momentum setup (strong_downtrend): 363 historical aligned setups, 59% win rate, +1.25% avg 5D forward return, direction short
  • Evidence flags: strong_downtrend;momentum_short_setup;momentum_confirmation;trend_aligned_entry;sufficient_sample_size;positive_transition_probability
  • IG evidence: official IG evidence: market code match

LII.US

Lennox International Inc (24 Hours)

LONG
USEquity5d
Confidence 58.3   Opportunity 49.6
Entry reference: 570.03 latest_close
Entry band: 560.40 - 579.66
Re-check / do not chase: 589.28

LONG: consider inside the band; re-check rather than chase above the avoid level.

Spread bet demonot checked
Spread bet livenot checked
CFD demonot checked
CFD livenot checked
Share dealingnot checked
Opening: not checked | Long: not checked | Short: not checked
Spread: | Minimum:

Why ATS selected this
  • Strategy: recovery / recovery_long; trend state uptrend.
  • Confidence: 58.3. This is the primary model-evidence priority, not a guarantee.
  • Opportunity score: 49.6 / 100. This is a ranking score, not a win probability.
  • Historical evidence: 5370 observations; 320 comparable regime matches; historical win probability 59.1%; expected return 1.463%.
  • Setup state: z-score 1.401; Markov state above_mean.
  • ATS reason: recovery setup (uptrend): drawdown 34%, retraced 58% of the fall, 320 historical recovery setups, 59% win rate, +1.46% avg 5D forward return, direction long
  • Evidence flags: uptrend;recovery_long_setup;prior_drawdown;stabilisation_confirmed;sma_reclaimed;sufficient_sample_size;positive_transition_probability
  • IG evidence: official IG evidence: market code match

AWK.US

American Water Works Co Inc (24 Hours)

LONG
USEquity5d
Confidence 58.3   Opportunity 36.0
Entry reference: 136.86 latest_close
Entry band: 135.33 - 138.39
Re-check / do not chase: 139.93

LONG: consider inside the band; re-check rather than chase above the avoid level.

Spread bet demonot checked
Spread bet livenot checked
CFD demonot checked
CFD livenot checked
Share dealingnot checked
Opening: not checked | Long: not checked | Short: not checked
Spread: | Minimum:

Why ATS selected this
  • Strategy: breakout / breakout_long; trend state range_or_mixed_trend.
  • Confidence: 58.3. This is the primary model-evidence priority, not a guarantee.
  • Opportunity score: 36.0 / 100. This is a ranking score, not a win probability.
  • Historical evidence: 4577 observations; 174 comparable regime matches; historical win probability 59.8%; expected return 0.377%.
  • Setup state: z-score 2.439; Markov state extreme_above_mean.
  • ATS reason: fresh range break (range_or_mixed_trend): 174 historical fresh breaks, 60% win rate, +0.38% avg 5D forward return, direction long
  • Evidence flags: range_or_mixed_trend;breakout_long_setup;fresh_range_break;extreme_positive_z_score;sufficient_sample_size;positive_transition_probability
  • IG evidence: official IG evidence: market code match

IR.US

Trane Technologies plc (24 Hours)

LONG
USEquity5d
Confidence 57.9   Opportunity 43.7
Entry reference: 80.59 latest_close
Entry band: 79.28 - 81.90
Re-check / do not chase: 83.22

LONG: consider inside the band; re-check rather than chase above the avoid level.

Spread bet demonot checked
Spread bet livenot checked
CFD demonot checked
CFD livenot checked
Share dealingnot checked
Opening: not checked | Long: not checked | Short: not checked
Spread: | Minimum:

Why ATS selected this
  • Strategy: recovery / recovery_long; trend state range_or_mixed_trend.
  • Confidence: 57.9. This is the primary model-evidence priority, not a guarantee.
  • Opportunity score: 43.7 / 100. This is a ranking score, not a win probability.
  • Historical evidence: 2297 observations; 248 comparable regime matches; historical win probability 58.9%; expected return 1.021%.
  • Setup state: z-score 1.013; Markov state above_mean.
  • ATS reason: recovery setup (range_or_mixed_trend): drawdown 31%, retraced 40% of the fall, 248 historical recovery setups, 59% win rate, +1.02% avg 5D forward return, direction long
  • Evidence flags: range_or_mixed_trend;recovery_long_setup;prior_drawdown;stabilisation_confirmed;sma_reclaimed;sufficient_sample_size;positive_transition_probability
  • IG evidence: official IG evidence: market code match

BNC.UK

Banco Santander SA (LSE)

LONG
UKEquity5d
Confidence 57.9   Opportunity 40.5
Entry reference: 1062.0 latest_close
Entry band: 1050.9 - 1073.1
Re-check / do not chase: 1084.1

LONG: consider inside the band; re-check rather than chase above the avoid level.

Spread bet demonot checked
Spread bet livenot checked
CFD demonot checked
CFD livenot checked
Share dealingnot checked
Opening: not checked | Long: not checked | Short: not checked
Spread: | Minimum:

Why ATS selected this
  • Strategy: momentum / momentum_long; trend state strong_uptrend.
  • Confidence: 57.9. This is the primary model-evidence priority, not a guarantee.
  • Opportunity score: 40.5 / 100. This is a ranking score, not a win probability.
  • Historical evidence: 2862 observations; 559 comparable regime matches; historical win probability 58.3%; expected return 0.649%.
  • Setup state: z-score 1.285; Markov state above_mean.
  • ATS reason: momentum setup (strong_uptrend): 559 historical aligned setups, 58% win rate, +0.65% avg 5D forward return, direction long
  • Evidence flags: strong_uptrend;momentum_long_setup;momentum_confirmation;trend_aligned_entry;sufficient_sample_size;positive_transition_probability
  • IG evidence: official IG evidence: market code match

EUE.UK

iShares EURO STOXX 50 UCITS ETF Inc (LSE)

LONG
UKETF5d
Confidence 57.9   Opportunity 29.3
Entry reference: 5643.0 latest_close
Entry band: 5586.6 - 5699.4
Re-check / do not chase: 5755.9

LONG: consider inside the band; re-check rather than chase above the avoid level.

Spread bet demonot checked
Spread bet livenot checked
CFD demonot checked
CFD livenot checked
Share dealingnot checked
Opening: not checked | Long: not checked | Short: not checked
Spread: | Minimum:

Why ATS selected this
  • Strategy: breakout / breakout_long; trend state strong_uptrend.
  • Confidence: 57.9. This is the primary model-evidence priority, not a guarantee.
  • Opportunity score: 29.3 / 100. This is a ranking score, not a win probability.
  • Historical evidence: 2863 observations; 103 comparable regime matches; historical win probability 60.2%; expected return 0.113%.
  • Setup state: z-score 1.45; Markov state above_mean.
  • ATS reason: fresh range break (strong_uptrend): 103 historical fresh breaks, 60% win rate, +0.11% avg 5D forward return, direction long
  • Evidence flags: strong_uptrend;breakout_long_setup;fresh_range_break;sufficient_sample_size;favourable_win_probability;positive_transition_probability
  • IG evidence: official IG evidence: market code match

BTU.US

Peabody Energy Corp

SHORT
USEquity5d
Confidence 57.8   Opportunity 44.5
Entry reference: 22.30 latest_close
Entry band: 21.73 - 22.87
Re-check / do not chase: 21.16

SHORT: consider inside the band; re-check rather than chase below the avoid level.

Spread bet demonot checked
Spread bet livenot checked
CFD demonot checked
CFD livenot checked
Share dealingnot checked
Opening: not checked | Long: not checked | Short: not checked
Spread: | Minimum:

Why ATS selected this
  • Strategy: momentum / momentum_short; trend state downtrend.
  • Confidence: 57.8. This is the primary model-evidence priority, not a guarantee.
  • Opportunity score: 44.5 / 100. This is a ranking score, not a win probability.
  • Historical evidence: 2323 observations; 247 comparable regime matches; historical win probability 58.7%; expected return 1.569%.
  • Setup state: z-score -1.339; Markov state below_mean.
  • ATS reason: momentum setup (downtrend): 247 historical aligned setups, 59% win rate, +1.57% avg 5D forward return, direction short
  • Evidence flags: downtrend;momentum_short_setup;momentum_confirmation;trend_aligned_entry;sufficient_sample_size;positive_transition_probability;high_volatility_warning
  • IG evidence: official IG evidence: market code match

HCC.US

HCC Insurance Holdings Inc

LONG
USEquity1d
Confidence 57.8   Opportunity 32.6
Entry reference: 80.83 latest_close
Entry band: 78.94 - 82.72
Re-check / do not chase: 84.62

LONG: consider inside the band; re-check rather than chase above the avoid level.

Spread bet demonot checked
Spread bet livenot checked
CFD demonot checked
CFD livenot checked
Share dealingnot checked
Opening: not checked | Long: not checked | Short: not checked
Spread: | Minimum:

Why ATS selected this
  • Strategy: mean_reversion / mean_reversion_long; trend state range_or_mixed_trend.
  • Confidence: 57.8. This is the primary model-evidence priority, not a guarantee.
  • Opportunity score: 32.6 / 100. This is a ranking score, not a win probability.
  • Historical evidence: 2317 observations; 418 comparable regime matches; historical win probability 58.4%; expected return 0.419%.
  • Setup state: z-score -1.244; Markov state below_mean.
  • ATS reason: below_mean state: 418 historical matches, 58% win rate, +0.42% avg 1D forward return, direction long
  • Evidence flags: range_or_mixed_trend;mean_reversion_setup;sufficient_sample_size;positive_transition_probability
  • IG evidence: official IG evidence: market code match

SAN.US

Banco Santander Chile - ADR

LONG
USEquity5d
Confidence 57.6   Opportunity 38.6
Entry reference: 13.95 latest_close
Entry band: 13.80 - 14.10
Re-check / do not chase: 14.26

LONG: consider inside the band; re-check rather than chase above the avoid level.

Spread bet demonot checked
Spread bet livenot checked
CFD demonot checked
CFD livenot checked
Share dealingnot checked
Opening: not checked | Long: not checked | Short: not checked
Spread: | Minimum:

Why ATS selected this
  • Strategy: momentum / momentum_long; trend state strong_uptrend.
  • Confidence: 57.6. This is the primary model-evidence priority, not a guarantee.
  • Opportunity score: 38.6 / 100. This is a ranking score, not a win probability.
  • Historical evidence: 5370 observations; 1055 comparable regime matches; historical win probability 57.8%; expected return 0.622%.
  • Setup state: z-score 1.331; Markov state above_mean.
  • ATS reason: momentum setup (strong_uptrend): 1055 historical aligned setups, 58% win rate, +0.62% avg 5D forward return, direction long
  • Evidence flags: strong_uptrend;momentum_long_setup;momentum_confirmation;trend_aligned_entry;sufficient_sample_size;positive_transition_probability
  • IG evidence: official IG evidence: market code match

VRTS.US

Virtus Investment Partners Inc

LONG
USEquity1d
Confidence 57.3   Opportunity 30.6
Entry reference: 151.64 latest_close
Entry band: 148.58 - 154.70
Re-check / do not chase: 157.75

LONG: consider inside the band; re-check rather than chase above the avoid level.

Spread bet demonot checked
Spread bet livenot checked
CFD demonot checked
CFD livenot checked
Share dealingnot checked
Opening: not checked | Long: not checked | Short: not checked
Spread: | Minimum:

Why ATS selected this
  • Strategy: mean_reversion / momentum_long; trend state uptrend.
  • Confidence: 57.3. This is the primary model-evidence priority, not a guarantee.
  • Opportunity score: 30.6 / 100. This is a ranking score, not a win probability.
  • Historical evidence: 4400 observations; 328 comparable regime matches; historical win probability 57.9%; expected return 0.325%.
  • Setup state: z-score 2.295; Markov state extreme_above_mean.
  • ATS reason: extreme_above_mean state: 328 historical matches, 58% win rate, +0.32% avg 1D forward return, direction long
  • Evidence flags: extreme_positive_z_score;uptrend;momentum_confirmation;sufficient_sample_size;positive_transition_probability
  • IG evidence: official IG evidence: market code match

FAST.US

Fastenal Co (24 Hours)

LONG
USEquity5d
Confidence 57.1   Opportunity 46.4
Entry reference: 48.60 latest_close
Entry band: 48.06 - 49.14
Re-check / do not chase: 49.68

LONG: consider inside the band; re-check rather than chase above the avoid level.

Spread bet demonot checked
Spread bet livenot checked
CFD demonot checked
CFD livenot checked
Share dealingnot checked
Opening: not checked | Long: not checked | Short: not checked
Spread: | Minimum:

Why ATS selected this
  • Strategy: breakout / breakout_long; trend state range_or_mixed_trend.
  • Confidence: 57.1. This is the primary model-evidence priority, not a guarantee.
  • Opportunity score: 46.4 / 100. This is a ranking score, not a win probability.
  • Historical evidence: 9130 observations; 89 comparable regime matches; historical win probability 59.6%; expected return 0.847%.
  • Setup state: z-score 2.312; Markov state extreme_above_mean.
  • ATS reason: fresh range break (range_or_mixed_trend): 89 historical fresh breaks, 60% win rate, +0.85% avg 5D forward return, direction long
  • Evidence flags: range_or_mixed_trend;breakout_long_setup;fresh_range_break;extreme_positive_z_score;adequate_sample_size;positive_transition_probability
  • IG evidence: official IG evidence: market code match

ENR.US

Energizer Holdings Inc

LONG
USEquity5d
Confidence 57.1   Opportunity 37.2
Entry reference: 21.75 latest_close
Entry band: 21.29 - 22.21
Re-check / do not chase: 22.68

LONG: consider inside the band; re-check rather than chase above the avoid level.

Spread bet demonot checked
Spread bet livenot checked
CFD demonot checked
CFD livenot checked
Share dealingnot checked
Opening: not checked | Long: not checked | Short: not checked
Spread: | Minimum:

Why ATS selected this
  • Strategy: recovery / recovery_long; trend state uptrend.
  • Confidence: 57.1. This is the primary model-evidence priority, not a guarantee.
  • Opportunity score: 37.2 / 100. This is a ranking score, not a win probability.
  • Historical evidence: 5370 observations; 523 comparable regime matches; historical win probability 57.6%; expected return 0.8%.
  • Setup state: z-score 0.828; Markov state neutral.
  • ATS reason: recovery setup (uptrend): drawdown 46%, retraced 40% of the fall, 523 historical recovery setups, 58% win rate, +0.80% avg 5D forward return, direction long
  • Evidence flags: uptrend;recovery_long_setup;prior_drawdown;stabilisation_confirmed;sma_reclaimed;sufficient_sample_size;positive_transition_probability
  • IG evidence: official IG evidence: market code match

Basket 1 tracker

-96.64Latest total P/L
14Positions open
9504.63Margin used
17.02%Equity used
Snapshot: Opening snapshot | 2026-07-09 15:10 COT approx. Update data\demo\baskets\basket1_snapshots_input.csv and rebuild.
SymbolSideEntryStake/pointHorizonActual stopStop %Cash riskStatusNotes
AUTO.UKLONG492.091.005dOPENUK long already active
FUTR.UKSHORT286.961.735dOPENUK short already active; demo spread was poor
BTU.USSHORT2341.50.245dOPENUS short
PNR.USLONG7477.50.245dOPENUS long
IR.USLONG47152.00.245dOPENUS long
VRTS.USLONG15778.00.241dOPENUS long; 1d mean-reversion candidate
WSO.USLONG37863.00.245dOPENUS long
HDB.USLONG2658.00.245dOPENUS long
HNI.USLONG3956.90.245dOPENUS long
LII.USLONG53542.00.245dOPENUS long
AWK.USLONG13068.00.245dOPENUS long
SAN.USLONG3360.00.245dOPENUS long
ENR.USLONG2028.00.245dOPENUS long
FAST.USLONG4635.60.245dOPENUS long

Missed / unavailable candidates